New Unemployment Claims Fall to 197,000, but One Week Is Not a Hiring Rebound

Job Market

New claims for U.S. unemployment insurance totaled a seasonally adjusted 197,000 in the week ended September 19, down 1,000 from the previous week’s revised level, the Labor Department reported September 24. The previous week was revised up by 2,000, from 196,000 to 198,000. The four-week moving average, which smooths some weekly noise, fell 1,750 to 202,250. These are counts of new applications for unemployment benefits, not a count of people hired or of everyone who lost a job.

Low, and lower than a year ago

By historical standards the level is low. A year earlier, in the comparable week of 2025, seasonally adjusted initial claims were 219,000 and the four-week average was 236,750. Before seasonal adjustment, states recorded 163,811 initial claims, an increase of 10,243 from the prior week that was close to the roughly 10,475 increase the seasonal factors expected.

Continuing claims tell a similar story. Insured unemployment for the week ended September 12 was 1,719,000, up 2,000, and the insured unemployment rate held at 1.1%. Those figures cover only people who applied and qualified for state benefits; many unemployed workers never file, or are not eligible.

Few layoffs, but also few hires

The more important contrast is with hiring. The July Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey counted 5.1 million hires, a 3.2% hires rate, alongside 7.3 million openings. Layoffs and discharges were 1.7 million, a 1.0% rate, and quits 3.1 million, a 1.9% rate. That combination describes a market in which relatively few workers are being let go, but relatively few are moving into new jobs either.

Initial claims mainly capture the first of those flows. A market can have subdued layoffs while still offering jobseekers limited opportunities to switch or re-enter work. Reading only the claims release would hide that distinction, and a one-week move of 1,000 is well within the range that later revisions can erase.

For employers, lower claims are a sign that broad workforce reductions are not accelerating. For applicants, fewer new claims should not be read as more available offers. Neither series says whether a specific occupation or metro area is improving.

What comes next

The August JOLTS release is scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, and the September employment report for Friday, October 2. Both will add information about hiring and payrolls that a weekly benefits count cannot supply. Until then, this week’s number is a precise but narrow signal: new insured unemployment claims remain low and edged down.

Sources

Featured photo: Officials open a WorkSource job center and online jobs portal at the Los Angeles Central Library in 2015. Representative image of public employment services; it is not connected to the claims data. Photo: Eric Garcetti (City of Los Angeles), via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0). Cropped from the original.

Hot this week

DICK’S and Foot Locker Plan More Than 11,000 Holiday Hires, Down From About 14,000 Last Year

DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc. plans to hire more than 11,000 seasonal workers across its store brands for the 2026 holiday season, the Pittsburgh-based retailer said on Oct. 15. That is a smaller target than a year ago, when the company said it expected to bring on about 14,000.

Georgia’s Labor Force Hits Another Record in September, but Payroll Jobs Slip and Unemployment Edges Up to 3.3%

Georgia's labor force and the number of Georgians with jobs both reached new highs in September, the Georgia Department of Labor said on Oct. 15.

Microsoft’s Brad Smith Calls Vance’s Green Card Fraud Claims ‘Off Base,’ Warns Curbs Could Push Talent Abroad

Microsoft President Brad Smith has publicly rejected the Trump administration's accusations against the company's use of skilled-worker immigration programs, calling Vice President JD Vance's fraud claims "completely off base" and warning that restricting green cards could send top engineering talen

Army Corps Permit Clears Way for Savannah’s $2.3 Billion Third Container Terminal; Construction Set for 2028

The Georgia Ports Authority has its federal permit to build a third container terminal at the Port of Savannah. The authority said on Oct. 14 that the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers approved the permit for the planned Savannah Container Terminal after a three-year review.

Diesel Is Up About $2.50 a Gallon From a Year Ago, and Truck Freight Rates Are Following

The average U.S. retail price of on-highway diesel was $6.179 a gallon in the week of Oct. 12, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, about $2.51 more than a year earlier. Federal producer-price data released Oct.

Topics

DICK’S and Foot Locker Plan More Than 11,000 Holiday Hires, Down From About 14,000 Last Year

DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc. plans to hire more than 11,000 seasonal workers across its store brands for the 2026 holiday season, the Pittsburgh-based retailer said on Oct. 15. That is a smaller target than a year ago, when the company said it expected to bring on about 14,000.

Georgia’s Labor Force Hits Another Record in September, but Payroll Jobs Slip and Unemployment Edges Up to 3.3%

Georgia's labor force and the number of Georgians with jobs both reached new highs in September, the Georgia Department of Labor said on Oct. 15.

Microsoft’s Brad Smith Calls Vance’s Green Card Fraud Claims ‘Off Base,’ Warns Curbs Could Push Talent Abroad

Microsoft President Brad Smith has publicly rejected the Trump administration's accusations against the company's use of skilled-worker immigration programs, calling Vice President JD Vance's fraud claims "completely off base" and warning that restricting green cards could send top engineering talen

Army Corps Permit Clears Way for Savannah’s $2.3 Billion Third Container Terminal; Construction Set for 2028

The Georgia Ports Authority has its federal permit to build a third container terminal at the Port of Savannah. The authority said on Oct. 14 that the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers approved the permit for the planned Savannah Container Terminal after a three-year review.

Diesel Is Up About $2.50 a Gallon From a Year Ago, and Truck Freight Rates Are Following

The average U.S. retail price of on-highway diesel was $6.179 a gallon in the week of Oct. 12, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, about $2.51 more than a year earlier. Federal producer-price data released Oct.

September Retail Sales Rise 0.8%, but Gasoline Accounts for Much of the Gain

U.S. retail and food services sales rose 0.8% in September, but most of the increase came from gasoline stations. Excluding gas stations, sales rose just 0.2%, according to the Census Bureau's advance estimate released Oct. 15.

Producer Prices Jumped 1.3% in September, the Biggest Monthly Rise Since March 2022

Prices that U.S. producers receive for their goods and services rose 1.3% in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Oct. 15.

New York Factory Activity Hits Highest Level Since 2021 While Employment Gauge Holds at 10.3

Manufacturing activity in New York State jumped in October to its strongest reading in nearly five years, but the surge has not yet translated into faster hiring. The New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey, released Oct.
spot_img

Related Articles

Popular Categories

spot_imgspot_img