Stanford's latest payroll evidence finds no widespread AI job displacement, yet employment of 22- to 25-year-olds in highly exposed occupations is about 19% below that of less-exposed peers. Both findings hold, and hiring is where they meet.
Stanford payroll research finds a widening 19% employment gap for workers 22 to 25 in highly AI-exposed jobs, mainly through reduced hiring. A 41-country study points to a shifting junior-senior mix. Neither proves cause.